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HF 5048

Analysis of the statewide economic impact of increased immigration enforcement in Minnesota funding provided, report required, and money appropriated.

2025-2026 Regular Session Introduced by Larry Kraft and 1 co-sponsor

The bill funds and requires a nonpartisan analysis of how increased immigration enforcement, including Metro Surge, affects Minnesota’s economy, labor, and businesses.

Author added Kraft
#appropriations #employmentandeconomicdevelopmentdepartment
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Bill Summary · HF 5048

Summary of HF 5048 (2025-2026) – Analysis of the statewide economic impact of increased immigration enforcement in Minnesota

Purpose and intent

  • The bill authorizes an appropriation and requires a comprehensive analysis of how increased immigration enforcement in Minnesota affects the state’s economy.
  • The analysis is tied to operations associated with “Operation Metro Surge” launched in December 2025, focusing on potential economic impacts stemming from intensified immigration enforcement.

Key provisions and changes

  • Funding and fiscal note
    • A one-time appropriation of $250,000 from the General Fund to the Department of Employment and Economic Development (DEED) for fiscal year 2027.
  • Scope of analysis
    • The analysis must assess the statewide economic impact of increased immigration enforcement beginning in 2025, including Metro Surge operations.
    • Areas of assessment include:
    • Labor market effects: labor force participation, workforce availability, and labor shortages across Minnesota sectors.
    • Small and immigrant-owned businesses: impact on family-owned, immigrant-owned, and locally owned businesses, considering workforce access, hiring challenges, costs, business continuity, and long-term sustainability.
    • Sector-specific impacts: agriculture, food processing, construction, health care, hospitality, manufacturing, transportation, and retail.
    • Business operations and supply chains: effects on operations, productivity, and potential closures or relocations.
    • Regional economy: statewide regional impacts with comparisons across counties and between rural, suburban, and urban areas, to the extent practicable.
    • Economic output and government revenue: effects on consumer spending, state and local tax revenue, and overall economic output.
  • Data sources and methodology
    • The analysis may incorporate data from academic institutions, Minnesota businesses, state agencies, and other economic data sources.
    • The commissioner may solicit proposals and contract with a nonpartisan third party to prepare the report.
  • Reporting timeline
    • The results must be delivered in a written report to the chairs and ranking minority members of the legislative committees with jurisdiction over workforce and economic development by February 1, 2027.

Who would be affected

  • State government and agencies: DEED leads the analysis, with potential collaboration across state agencies and academic or nonpartisan research partners.
  • Businesses and workers: The findings would inform understanding of how immigration enforcement affects employment opportunities, business operations, supply chains, and regional economic dynamics.
  • Immigrant communities and immigrant-owned businesses: The study specifically considers the impact on immigrant-owned and locally owned small and microbusinesses.
  • Policy stakeholders and legislators: Commissioners, chairs, and ranking minority members of relevant committees would receive the final report to inform policymaking.

Procedural and timeline aspects

  • Effective date and trigger: Initiates in 2025 with the analysis focus on that period and the Metro Surge operations.
  • Funding mechanism: One-time $250,000 General Fund appropriation to DEED for the analysis.
  • Reporting deadline: Final report due to specified legislative chairs and ranking minority members by February 1, 2027.
  • Contracting authority: DEED may solicit proposals and contract a nonpartisan third party to conduct and prepare the analysis.

Notes

  • The bill is introduced in the 94th Minnesota Legislature and has a co-sponsor (Senator Samantha Vang is listed as a co-sponsor in the House).
  • The document presents a focused, data-driven assessment rather than policy changes or enforcement actions themselves.

Compiled from official sources — confirm details with the bill’s official record.

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